Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.747355 14.347880 16.144896 18.326549 20.923159 23.939598 27.745468
2025-07-13 11.617428 13.910414 16.715206 20.459270 25.421854 31.917612 41.316838
2025-07-20 10.495130 13.073686 16.409051 21.157534 27.950630 37.669870 53.345465
2025-07-27 9.276641 11.877838 15.377531 20.597719 28.503773 40.623410 61.974448
2025-08-03 8.705184 11.443124 15.269738 21.247082 30.840169 46.652105 77.345703
2025-08-10 7.985357 10.705303 14.617621 20.949908 31.588305 50.189050 89.397239
2025-08-17 7.388780 10.075877 14.039310 20.660146 32.254441 53.671644 102.563811
2025-08-24 6.915990 9.579587 13.600503 20.518924 33.123428 57.692599 118.514243
2025-08-31 6.427814 9.015725 12.996249 20.012933 33.224543 60.183505 131.870220
2025-09-07 6.063613 8.611820 12.605546 19.820406 33.873883 63.966151 150.473671
2025-09-14 5.607001 8.029790 11.874907 18.937349 33.016911 64.194738 158.994024
2025-09-21 5.188200 7.481536 11.159503 18.009637 31.937530 63.684160 165.110663
2025-09-28 4.840274 7.039032 10.610906 17.378940 31.482554 64.829949 178.462883
2025-10-05 4.959095 7.363199 11.394866 19.371658 37.075701 83.193352 271.379183
2025-10-12 4.850437 7.298464 11.489108 20.019674 39.774558 94.843833 352.240757
2025-10-19 4.583597 6.947097 11.038779 19.499770 39.565935 97.724593 392.813767
2025-10-26 4.491852 6.890236 11.120723 20.102844 42.288600 111.121457 517.471953
2025-11-02 4.293433 6.634432 10.811491 19.826911 42.673319 116.749689 601.972590
2025-11-09 4.111258 6.396912 10.519698 19.557766 43.032877 122.507567 701.868844
2025-11-16 3.958901 6.204078 10.299827 19.426559 43.759630 130.082951 841.065134
2025-11-23 3.778594 5.951561 9.947461 18.956261 43.432255 133.300090 946.668848
2025-11-30 3.642704 5.773047 9.729134 18.777238 43.942970 140.450215 1130.576787
2025-12-07 3.446324 5.475028 9.256873 17.955567 42.375650 137.677356 1168.196050